Brown or Whitman – Who Would You Have Oversee Your Money?

Frugality is not a Meg Whitman trademark . . .

The latest numbers are in relating to the fundraising totals of each candidate in California.

Projected vote totals:

Brown projected at: 51.4% = 4,194,240 link
Whitman projected at: 46.1% =  3,761,760 ibid.

Whitman will have spent $49.98 per vote cast for her from her current figures of spending $173 million. link

Brown? $8.80. Yes. You read that right. $8.80 per vote. He’s spent $36.9 million ibid.

And my personal answer to the question, “Who Would You Have Oversee Your Money?”

I would elect neither candidate if it came to my family’s personal funds.

But it’s Jerry Brown when it comes to OUR public funds here in California.

~OGD~

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California Governor Election Forecast

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The latest from Nate Silver at 538.com:
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Governor Forecast Update: Chafee’s Chances Wax; Whitman’s Wane

October 23, 2010, 10:52 am 

In California, Meg Whitman’s chances of defeating Jerry Brown are increasingly slim, as new surveys give Mr. Brown leads of 7 and 8 percentage points. Ms. Whitman’s internal polls also have her trailing, although by a smaller margin, according to KCBS’s Doug Sovern. The polling has been fairly consistent in this race for several weeks now, and I don’t know that it’s really all that hard a contest to read: Ms. Whitman’s campaign has encountered a few speed bumps, and she may have saturated the market with advertisements to the point that voters are tuning her out; moreover, she has lost ground even as the Senate candidate in California, Carly Fiorina, has held or somewhat improved her position. And a comeback is less likely in a state with significant early voting. Ms. Whitman’s winning chances are now down to 14 percent in the model, from 18 percent earlier this week.

California: Jerry “Mr. Pauper” Brown vs Meg “Ms. Money Bags” Whitman

For those who are wondering or worrying …

The final 30 day push has begun in earnest in the governor’s race in California.

Yesterday the Brown camp started running the first two of a coming series of TV ads. You can view both of them over here at the TPM Café Castaways Yuku site.

While Brown’s ads run, the Whitman camp as most folks already know have been attempting to beat back the brouhaha over the families ex-housekeeper situation.

But what is really brewing under the radar is the quick rise over the past two weeks since Labor Day of Jerry Brown’s chances of taking the top spot. And this is not due to the recent Whitman/housekeeper situation. According to Nate Silver’s modeling of the race things have abruptly changed.

In Nate’s words:

“Mr. Brown is now a 60 percent favorite to win, according to the model; two weeks ago, Ms. Whitman, the Republican nominee, had been almost a 2-to-1 favorite.”

You can view some very interesting numbers over here at the TPM Café Castaways Yuku site and note the part about:

  • “The chance that each candidate will win based on 100,000 simulations with random variation in the local and national political environment..”

There can be little doubt that the outcome of this race is still up in the air.

The real key as always is, Get Out The vote!

~OGD~

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