This is one of the most stunning upsets in presidential primaries with Sanders coming from a 20 points behind in polling to win over Clinton by a couple of points. At this time Michigan is still counting the last votes while I write this. Nate Silver at 538 gave Hillary Clinton a 99% chance to win.
Sanders had gone to bed while campaigning in Florida not expecting a win. He then hastily had to put together a short speech in front of cameras out side the motel he was staying in Miami to thank everyone for their work in Michigan.
This election reminds me of Mondale and Hart in 1984.
Mondale gradually pulled away from Hart in the delegate count, but the race was not decided until June, on “Super Tuesday III”. Decided that day were delegates from five states: South Dakota, New Mexico, West Virginia, and the big prizes of California and New Jersey. The proportional nature of delegate selection meant that Mondale was likely to obtain enough delegates on that day to secure the stated support of an overall majority of delegates, and hence the nomination, no matter who actually “won” the states contested. However, Hart maintained that unpledged superdelegates that had previously claimed support for Mondale would shift to his side if he swept the Super Tuesday III primary. Once again, Hart committed a faux pas, insulting New Jersey shortly before the primary day. Campaigning in California, he remarked that while the “bad news” was that he and his wife Lee had to campaign separately, “[t]he good news for her is that she campaigns in California while I campaign in New Jersey.” Compounding the problem, when his wife interjected that she “got to hold a koala bear,” Hart replied that “I won’t tell you what I got to hold: samples from a toxic-waste dump.” While Hart won California, he lost New Jersey after leading in polls by as much as 15 points.
By the time the Democratic Convention started in San Francisco Mondale had more than enough delegates to win the Democratic nomination.
I am expecting Sanders to chip away at Clinton’s lead in delegate count to win the nomination by June. Tonight was that turning point.
I feel the Bern.